The SEC regular season is over. It's bowl season again, and it's time to review my predictions and the SEC season as a whole. First, my predictions:
1. Ole Miss will be good this year, and perhaps beat a team they shouldn't, but they will not go to the SEC Championship Game.
Ole Miss was good by Ole Miss standards (8-4 overall, 4-4 SEC) but finished third in the SEC West.
2. Vanderbilt will return to a bowl game.
No. Vanderbilt had a dismal season.
3. Of the three teams with a new coach (Auburn, Mississippi State and Tennessee), State will be the one that performs better than expected.
I think you could make a case that any of these teams was the best overall, but you could just as easily say that they failed to meet expectations. Auburn finished 7-5, which sounds good, unless you remember that they started off 5-0 - including losses to Kentucky and Georgia. Tennessee looked to have really righted the ship midseason, and they did finish 7-5 and second in the East. But then they tanked against Ole Miss, and second in the East was shared with four other teams. Mississippi State finished with a 5-7 record, which isn't great, but it is their second-best record since 2000, and given the fact that they wrapped the season with a blowout of hated rival Ole Miss, I will give the Bulldogs the nod.
4. Les Miles (LSU) will be on the coaching hot seat by the end of the year.
This didn't look likely to happen, until Miles shot both feet off in the Ole Miss game. After rectifying the clock management issues against Arkansas, Miles is safe for now, but the seat is definitely warmer than at mid-season.
5. Florida will beat Tennessee by at least 35 points.
Unfortunately, this didn't happen.
6. Alabama will win the SEC West.
Done.
7. Florida will win the SEC East.
Done.
8. Florida will win the SEC.
Wrong. Alabama crushed Florida 32-13 in the Championship Game.
9. Tim Tebow will win the Heisman Trophy.
Not likely. We'll find out Saturday. Expect the closest race we've seen in a while.
10. The national champion will come from outside the SEC this year.
We won't know this until January, obviously, but it will be either #1 Alabama or #2 Texas. Currently, I am picking the Tide.
Other observations:
Alabama (13-0, 8-0) - The Crimson Tide avenged last year's loss against the Gators in the SEC Championship game with a totally dominating performance. They have set themselves up to play for the team's 13th national championship against the Texas Longhorns as well as sweeping a number of postseason SEC accolades. My prediction: BCS Championship Game Result: BCS Championship Game vs. Texas
Arkansas (7-5, 3-5) - Arkansas has improved as a team over last year, but the overtime loss to LSU put a bit of a damper on things. The Hogs had an opportunity to tie for second in the West, but had to settle for fourth. My prediction: PapaJohns.com Bowl Result: Liberty Bowl vs. East Carolina
Auburn (7-5, 3-5) - Auburn started on a hot streak, winning five in a row, but finished the regular season with a 2-5 slide. Still, the Tigers' strong showing against Alabama has Auburn fans looking forward to the future under Gene Chizik. My prediction: Cotton Bowl Result: Outback Bowl vs. Northwestern
Florida (12-1, 8-0) - The Gators benefited from a weak schedule and honestly, a weak division. Florida is a good team, but missed an opportunity to be the greatest in school history. The only question remaining for the Gators is whether or not Tebow can bring them back from a devastating loss to the Tide. My prediction: Sugar Bowl Result: Sugar Bowl vs. Cincinnati
Georgia (7-5, 4-4) - The Bulldogs are an average team and finished with a disappointing record, but unlikely victories over Auburn and a top-10 Georgia Tech team helped ease the pain. Marc Richt has already cleaned house in an effort to keep himself off the hot seat, but next year may be make-or-break. My prediction: Chick-Fil-A Bowl Result: Independence Bowl vs. Texas A&M
Kentucky (7-5, 3-5) - Kentucky is a decent team, but missed an opportunity to make a good season a great one with an overtime loss to Tennessee. Still, historic victories over Auburn and Georgia, and the Wildcat's fourth consecutive bowl game, made 2009 a successful year for UK. My prediction: No bowl Result: Music City Bowl vs. Clemson
LSU (9-3, 5-3) - LSU's two losses to Alabama and Florida were not unexpected, but Les Miles' botching of the Ole Miss game was epic. Fortunately for Miles, he righted the ship against Arkansas. The Bayou Bengals still have an opportunity for a ten-win season, if they can take care of business against Penn State. My prediction: Capital One Bowl Result: Capital One Bowl vs. Penn State
Mississippi (8-4, 4-4)- Ole Miss is a split personality team, it seems. They tanked against South Carolina, Alabama, and Auburn, then seemed to be ready to turn things around by pummeling Tennessee and pulling out a miracle win over LSU. Then of course, they got dominated by MSU. Obviously, they did not win the West, and if anything, declined a bit compared to last year, although a big bowl win would help salvage the season somewhat. My prediction: Independence Bowl Result: Cotton Bowl vs. Oklahoma State
Mississippi State (5-7, 3-5) - State played a tough schedule out of conference (Houston, Georgia Tech) and in, and while they were unable to reach bowl eligibility, they go into the off-season feeling good about the program - especially the Egg Bowl win over Ole Miss. My prediction: Music City Bowl Result: No bowl
South Carolina (7-5, 3-5) - South Carolina didn't completely fall off the map at the end of the year, but close enough. Only a surprising victory over rival Clemson kept the season from a disastrous finish. Still, wrapping up 2009 in Birmingham is nothing to write home about. My prediction: Liberty Bowl Result: PapaJohns.com Bowl vs. Connecticut
Tennessee (7-5, 4-4) - Tennessee finished 2009 strong, despite laying an egg against Ole Miss (aka Dexter McCluster). The Vols got jobbed out of the Outback Bowl, but may have gotten a better game in the process. My prediction: Outback Bowl Result: Chick-Fil-A Bowl vs. Virginia Tech
Vanderbilt (2-10, 0-8) - Just horrible, or in other words, back to normal. My prediction: No bowl Result: No bowl
Tuesday, December 08, 2009
Saturday, December 05, 2009
Review: No. 2 Alabama 32, No. 1 Florida 13
In what many billed as the biggest college football game of the 21st century (if not all-time), the second-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) dominated the number-1 Florida Gators (12-1) in all phases of the game. Alabama's defense was stifling, as expected, and Mark Ingram was back to his usual impressive self, but 'Bama quarterback Greg McElroy surprised and upstaged the former Heisman trophy winner and "greatest college football player of all time" Tim Tebow.
The Tide crushed the Gators in convincing fashion, shutting them out in the second half. Alabama will now head to Pasadena, CA for the BCS National Chmapionship game versus (likely) either Texas or TCU.
My Seven Points:
1. This game was won by the Alabama offensive and defensive lines. Alabama O-line pushed Florida back, opened holes, and protected Greg McElroy all day long, giving him time to find receivers. The D-line contained Tebow, disallowed Florida's running game, and contained the Gators' offense. Credit to all the big uglies for getting it done.
2. Mark Ingram may not win the Heisman, but he certainly deserves consideration for his performance in the championship. Ingram carried the ball 28 times for 113 yards. He scored three touchdowns, tying the SEC Championship Game record. He broke Alabama's single-season rushing record, gaining 1,542 yards on the season. His biggest play, though, may have been a 69-yard reception immediately following a second-quarter Florida touchdown that made the score 12-10. That run set up an Ingram touchdown run before the half, and Florida never got any closer.
3. Tim Tebow is a great player - a firey competitor, a talented runner, and a true leader. But Greg McElroy showed him up tonight. Every pregame analysis of this matchup was about how Alabama and Florida were very similar teams, with the main difference being Tebow's obvious superiority at quarterback. Tebow is a great player with a great record and has a lot of class. Everyone knows that. But McElroy consistently made great throws tonight. He didn't make any mistakes. And surprisingly, he made several key plays running the ball. Tebow didn't do any of these things tonight, and he had to for Florida to win.
4. The coaching staff put together a great game plan. It is rumored that Alabama has been preparing for Florida ever since last spring, and today it was obvious that it paid off. It's no secret that the 2008 SEC Championship left a bitter taste in the mouths of Coach Saban and the team, and they had no intention of repeating that today. Jim McElwain deserves a lot of credit for calling good plays, keeping Florida off balance from the very start.
5. Nick Saban - worth every penny. Many sportswriters made a huge stink about Saban leaving the Miami Dolphins to come to Alabama. Many accosted Alabama for paying Saban what seemed an exorbitant amount to do so. But Saban immediately righted the ship, bringing 92,000 fans to the A-Day spring game, bringing enthusiam and an iron will to the team, attracting fantastic recruiting classes, and now, an SEC championship, with a national title in reach. No one would argue now that Saban was worth it.
6. The Crimson Tide returns to the Rose Bowl. While it isn't the actual Rose Bowl game, Alabama has a history with the Rose Bowl that goes back to January 1, 1926. Alabama defeated the Washington Huskies 20-19 then, winning the 1925 national championship and putting Southern football on the map. Now, Southern football, especially SEC Football, is widely recognized as the best in the country and Alabama is at the pinnacle of that success. Alabama has played in the Rose Bowl more than any other team not in the Big Ten or Pac-10 (and more than many of those as well), and it even figures in the fight song. So it seems entirely appropriate for the Tide to return there to play for the title.
7. Alabama wins its 22nd SEC Championship. The most storied program in SEC history, Alabama has won more SEC titles than any other team (Tennessee is second with 13). The Tide also kept alive a streak with tonight's win - it has won at least one SEC title in every decade since the league came into existence. It is the only program in the league to have accomplished this. Tonight's game was the last opportunity to win a title in the decade of the 2000s. Alabama has now also reached 13-0 for the second season in its history (1992) and has an opportunity to finish 14-0 for the first time ever. Only BYU (1996) and Ohio State (2002) have won 14 games in a season, with only Ohio State finishing undefeated.
The Tide crushed the Gators in convincing fashion, shutting them out in the second half. Alabama will now head to Pasadena, CA for the BCS National Chmapionship game versus (likely) either Texas or TCU.
My Seven Points:
1. This game was won by the Alabama offensive and defensive lines. Alabama O-line pushed Florida back, opened holes, and protected Greg McElroy all day long, giving him time to find receivers. The D-line contained Tebow, disallowed Florida's running game, and contained the Gators' offense. Credit to all the big uglies for getting it done.
2. Mark Ingram may not win the Heisman, but he certainly deserves consideration for his performance in the championship. Ingram carried the ball 28 times for 113 yards. He scored three touchdowns, tying the SEC Championship Game record. He broke Alabama's single-season rushing record, gaining 1,542 yards on the season. His biggest play, though, may have been a 69-yard reception immediately following a second-quarter Florida touchdown that made the score 12-10. That run set up an Ingram touchdown run before the half, and Florida never got any closer.
3. Tim Tebow is a great player - a firey competitor, a talented runner, and a true leader. But Greg McElroy showed him up tonight. Every pregame analysis of this matchup was about how Alabama and Florida were very similar teams, with the main difference being Tebow's obvious superiority at quarterback. Tebow is a great player with a great record and has a lot of class. Everyone knows that. But McElroy consistently made great throws tonight. He didn't make any mistakes. And surprisingly, he made several key plays running the ball. Tebow didn't do any of these things tonight, and he had to for Florida to win.
4. The coaching staff put together a great game plan. It is rumored that Alabama has been preparing for Florida ever since last spring, and today it was obvious that it paid off. It's no secret that the 2008 SEC Championship left a bitter taste in the mouths of Coach Saban and the team, and they had no intention of repeating that today. Jim McElwain deserves a lot of credit for calling good plays, keeping Florida off balance from the very start.
5. Nick Saban - worth every penny. Many sportswriters made a huge stink about Saban leaving the Miami Dolphins to come to Alabama. Many accosted Alabama for paying Saban what seemed an exorbitant amount to do so. But Saban immediately righted the ship, bringing 92,000 fans to the A-Day spring game, bringing enthusiam and an iron will to the team, attracting fantastic recruiting classes, and now, an SEC championship, with a national title in reach. No one would argue now that Saban was worth it.
6. The Crimson Tide returns to the Rose Bowl. While it isn't the actual Rose Bowl game, Alabama has a history with the Rose Bowl that goes back to January 1, 1926. Alabama defeated the Washington Huskies 20-19 then, winning the 1925 national championship and putting Southern football on the map. Now, Southern football, especially SEC Football, is widely recognized as the best in the country and Alabama is at the pinnacle of that success. Alabama has played in the Rose Bowl more than any other team not in the Big Ten or Pac-10 (and more than many of those as well), and it even figures in the fight song. So it seems entirely appropriate for the Tide to return there to play for the title.
7. Alabama wins its 22nd SEC Championship. The most storied program in SEC history, Alabama has won more SEC titles than any other team (Tennessee is second with 13). The Tide also kept alive a streak with tonight's win - it has won at least one SEC title in every decade since the league came into existence. It is the only program in the league to have accomplished this. Tonight's game was the last opportunity to win a title in the decade of the 2000s. Alabama has now also reached 13-0 for the second season in its history (1992) and has an opportunity to finish 14-0 for the first time ever. Only BYU (1996) and Ohio State (2002) have won 14 games in a season, with only Ohio State finishing undefeated.
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